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Altarea

CR
Bloomberg   ALTA FP
Immobilier de commerce  /  France  Web Site   |   Investors Relation
Gradual recovery starting in 2025?

Score de durabilité
Société (Secteur)
4,2 (5,0)

La durabilité est constituée d'éléments analytiques contribuant au E, au S et au G, qui peuvent être mis en évidence comme précurseurs de la durabilité et peuvent être combinés de manière satisfaisante.

  Score Poids  
Gouvernance   
Taux de membres indépendants du Conseil d'Administration 2/10 25 %More ...
Diversité géographique du Conseil d'Administration 2/10 20 %
Fonction de Chairman distincte de l’exécutif 5 %
Environnement   
Emissions CO² 8/1025 %More ...
Prélèvement d'eau 7/1010 %
Social   
Évolution de la dispersion des salaires0/105 %More ...
Satisfaction au travail3/105 %
Communication interne10/105 %


Score de durabilité 4,2/10 100%  
Sustainability matters

Altarea is notably committed to the sustainability taxonomy. While exact comparisons are challenging, Altarea appears to have embraced this theme swiftly and earnestly. If sustainability is defined as constructing optimal apartments, Altarea deserves high recognition. The units delivered comply with stringent norms for low energy and carbon consumption. However, the construction sector inherently generates significant emissions, and reducing its footprint may necessitate lower long-term deliveries.

Altarea, like other developers, faces a global paradox: increasing apartment numbers, space per inhabitant, and comfort, while aiming to improve humanity’s environmental impact. Frugality is the ideal solution, yet it is unlikely that individuals will willingly reduce their footprints. Our belief is that sustainability is costly. Since 2023, the question has been whether sustainability is affordable for buyers, as it is challenging to align with mass markets.

Governments must guide citizens towards sustainable behaviours. The French residential development market accounts for less than 1% of existing homes annually, highlighting the need for renovation. Existing buildings still carry the burden of past carbon emissions, akin to non-recourse debt. Stricter regulations could favour the secondary market or compel developers to build new structures, benefiting only the wealthiest. This is the challenge governments must address, and Altarea may need to adapt accordingly.

A final consideration is the long-term impact of demographics in France. The ageing population and declining birth rate will soon question the annual need for new housing. While demand will persist in economically vibrant areas, the market may naturally rebalance housing practices. Until then, a tense transition period for housing and rents is expected to last at least another decade.


Score d'Environnement
Société (Secteur)
8,8 (4,6)
Ensembles de données évalués en tant que tendances sur un calendrier glissant, en fonction du secteur
ParamètresScoreSecteurPoids
Emissions CO²8/104/10 30 %
Prélèvement d'eau7/104/10 30 %
Energie10/106/10 25 %
Déchets9/104/10 15 %
Analyst's Joker View5 % 
Score d'Environnement8,8  100%
Environment matters
Global Warming and Real Estate Development

We believe that global warming will significantly impact housing in the West and, consequently, the real estate development sector in the long term. However, this impact is too distant to be currently assessed or valued.

Altarea’s Specificity

Altarea is notably committed to adapting to the taxonomy, demonstrating a level of sincerity uncommon among developers. While this does not provide a competitive advantage, it reflects a commitment we value, warranting a 5% “Analyst Joker’s View” bonus.

Property

Property companies typically experience significant carbon emissions at the start of construction, with minimal emissions thereafter. This is also applicable to developments on large land areas, such as car parks. Subsequent carbon consumption is low, as most extensions are minor in terms of square metres annually, whether at constant or current perimeters.

Water and energy consumption are low but remain crucial in showcasing retail property companies’ sustainability efforts. Shopping malls, akin to hypermarkets, are central consumer spending hubs. This setup may optimise the physical flow of goods compared to peer-to-peer online distribution, which involves increased deliveries, transportation, and warehousing.

Development

Similar to oil companies, buyers and tenants are primarily responsible for initial carbon emissions. Altarea’s efforts to optimise emissions align with French law, and it should promote alternative construction methods, such as wood and pre-fabricated structures. However, it is uncertain if these higher-cost constraints align with buyers’ financial capabilities. Renovation could be a viable alternative, alongside citizens altering their habits, as the number of inhabitants per house is at a historic low, while square metres per inhabitant are at a historic high.

By delivering state-of-the-art buildings, Altarea helps optimise heating and air conditioning costs, though this alone does not qualify its business as “green.” The rise of remote work may lead to more decentralised uses, necessitating further land transformation at the expense of centralised offices. In summary, Altarea could benefit from the work-from-home trend. Citizens must adopt positive habits independently.

Paramètres environnementaux

34
Energy (GJ) per €m in capital
employed
0
CO² tons per €m in capital
employed
34
Cubic meter water
withdrawal per €m in capital
employed
1
Tons waste generated per €m in
capital employed
Altarea Immobilier
Données sectorielles
Société PaysScore d'EnvironnementEnergie (totale, GJ)Emissions CO2 (tonnes)CO2
Compensation
(in tons)
Prélèvement d'eau (m3)Déchets (total, tonnes)
        
Allreal Holding BH 6/10256 5048 700 411 997 
AltareaCR 9/10254 2343 228 257 9125 407
Aroundtown BH 6/10403 09756 590 3 203 2451 602 893
Branicks Group BH 4/10886 371799 473 297575 665
British Land Co 6/10367 87518 4230708 00580 350
Covivio 7/10n/a19 166 n/a5 869
Deutsche Euroshop BH 2/10243 52017 058 348 4157 299
Deutsche Wohnen 1/10n/a275 0610n/an/a
Gecina 8/10459 4246 639 752 8891 419
Hammerson 5/10175 10027 3380237 51710 536
HIAG BH 5/1081 0921 655 79 107 
Icade 7/101 078 0743 718 649 25210 944
Inmobiliaria Colonial 8/10519 3216 842 328 2968 595
Klépierre 7/10735 13410 2420n/a40 999
Landsec 7/10412 68223 476 556 34728 448
LEG Immobilien BH 4/105 158 742324 989 5 456 64431 593
Mercialys 7/1033 9864 795 117 2295 261
Mobimo BH 4/10251 368 2616 937 393 87322 789
Nexity 7/10156 9677 4660n/an/a
PATRIZIA SE BH 1/10 2 883   
PSP Swiss Property BH 7/10313 7568 373 402 594 
Segro 7/10740 9546 97101 055 066n/a
Swiss Prime Site BH 6/10884 66014 685 700 36613 031
TAG Immobilien BH 1/102 213 0964 670 3 317 129310 885
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield 7/101 963 93323 49304 152 3301 963 933
VIB Vermögen BH 6/1012 2194 038 37 227102
Vonovia BH 1/10526 253829 543048 071861
Warehouses De Pauw 10/101 912325 3 1398
Wereldhave 8/10107 8161 294 131 4683 690

Social score
Société (Secteur)
7,5 (6,0)
Social matters

With 2,000 employees, Altarea is a significant player in French residential development. However, as the company subcontracts all construction work, assessing social issues at this level is challenging.

Altarea has maintained team integrity despite a sharp market adjustment since 2022. To continue this stability, consistent bookings are essential for 2025-26. Management appears committed to preserving the group’s expertise to be well-positioned when the market rebounds. This alignment of interests between shareholders and employees is a positive social aspect.

Altarea designs apartments, indirectly addressing broader social issues such as wellbeing, amenities, co-working, and student residences. As a major provider of affordable housing for non-profit organisations like French HLMs and “intermediate buy-to-let” landlords such as Action Logement and CDCH, Altarea is responsible for constructing state-of-the-art buildings that comply with the latest standards, including RE-2020.

Paramètres Quantitatifs (67 %)
Ensemble de mesures numériques liées au personnel, disponibles dans le modèle propriétaire AlphaValue, visant à établir un classement sur les questions sociales et de ressources humaines.
ParamètresScorePoids
Evolution du personnel total7/10 20 %
Evolution du salaire moyen4/10 35 %
Part de la valeur ajoutée absorbée par les frais de personnel10/10 25 %
Part de la valeur ajoutée absorbée par les impôts9/10 20 %
Évolution de la dispersion des salaires0/10 0 %
Bonus Effectif et Retraites (0 ou 1)0
Quantitative score7,1/10 100%
Paramètres Qualitatifs (33 %)
Ensemble de critères qualitatifs, à cocher par l'analyste


ParamètresScorePoids
Accidents du travail10/10 25 %
Developpement des ressources humaines7/10 35 %
Paye10/10 20 %
Satisfaction au travail3/10 10 %
Communication interne10/10 10 %
  
Score Qualitatif8,3/10 100%


Sector figures
SociétéPaysSocial Score Score QuantitatifScore QualitatifStaffing
      
TAG Immobilien BH 7,57,67,31 816
Hammerson 7,48,25,8135
Vonovia BH 7,28,15,512 056
Warehouses De Pauw 7,26,68,3110
VIB Vermögen BH 7,06,48,439,0
Mobimo BH 6,96,96,9160
PATRIZIA SE BH 6,85,98,7943
Aroundtown BH 6,77,25,91 625
Swiss Prime Site BH 6,77,35,5436
LEG Immobilien BH 6,77,35,51 815
Icade 6,45,87,61 037
Segro 6,15,86,9470
Gecina 6,15,86,8468
Covivio 6,05,08,01 023
Nexity 6,06,15,83 555
Allreal Holding BH 5,95,56,9243
Klépierre 5,96,35,21 057
HIAG BH 5,95,46,984,0
PSP Swiss Property BH 5,95,46,983,0
Inmobiliaria Colonial 5,65,75,5248
Landsec 5,65,36,1603
British Land Co 5,46,23,8658
Mercialys 5,35,05,9178
Wereldhave 5,25,35,2123
Unibail-Rodamco-Westfield 5,04,26,62 422
Deutsche Euroshop BH 4,94,65,67,00
Branicks Group BH 4,74,84,6320
Deutsche Wohnen 2,92,24,5737

Sustainability / ESG by AlphaValue:

Doubt driven, focused on dynamics


AlphaValue was set up in 2009 as an ESG native firm: since inception, no research could be published without filling up the ESG relevant items. ESG has always been there as a natural building block of the research effort.

Without much pretence, AlphaValue has accumulated 11 years of proprietary, practical data in a consistent way that has been made to “talk” with financial data. The efforts have been aimed at solving the main conundrum of ESG analytics: avoiding useless and noisy data. AlphaValue ESG data is intimately connected to the fundamental research work and its continuous updating process. In other words, AlphaValue ESG data can be made to resonate at will in terms of financial implications for those investors with the willingness to do so.

Over the last 3 years, this data, or rather the dynamic of this data, has been put at work so that it impacts directly and consistently on valuations across AlphaValue’s 450 + stocks universe. This is considerable progress vs. the dominant “consumption” of ESG raw data: ESG-type conclusions are sitting next to valuation fundamentals but hardly any investor is in a position to bridge effectively the two in a consistent and repeatable way. It takes more than a spreadsheet to get stable and auditable results that work 100% of the time.

AlphaValue reckons that it currently is the only equity research provider in Europe to have reached this stage: a perfectly smooth on-boarding of ESG data, on a continuing basis, impacting valuation fundamentals day and night.

This is available on every stock, every sector, every stock selection, every day.


Heretical ESG opinions?


ESG is a contradiction in terms. Without a good Governance, the Social and Environment items will never show progress. Social is for stakeholders and thus unlikely to please shareholders. The long-term view that good pay/working conditions are ultimately good for shareholders is, like any promise, better left to those who want to believe in it. It does not work for normal investment horizons

Environmental gains will not happen without good Governance but this is not enough as environmental progress will not happen without coercion from governments/supra-governments. There is no reason why a corporate will spend more for a possible collective gain tomorrow when it can have better returns now for its shareholders.

The environment is a cost of massive complexity and a universal one as data improves and allows for intricate tracking of what corporates are up to. There is no practical way a corporate can be valued through a web of changing definitions of environmental data. AlphaValue holds the view that all corporates are made to pay through lower GDP growth expectations resulting from friction costs. The only dimension that really matters from an investment perspective is whether a given corporate makes an extra effort vs. peers. A good ‘E’ rating shall not be driven by absolute levels but by the dynamic of emission controls relative to peers. Dumping cement stocks because they spit out carbon is a narrow view of what ESG implies.

Sustainability scores only

AlphaValue always refused to supply a pecking order of its coverage along some improbable ESG scale. It just does not make sense to mix opposing signals in a single ranking.

Sustainability is a different proposition where analytical items contributing to the E, the S and the G can be highlighted as sustainability precursors and combined in an intellectually acceptable way. This is the only scale made available by AlphaValue.

Sustainability impacts target prices

From 1-12-2020, AlphaValue substituted sustainability metrics for its Governance and Social ones when it comes to impacting valuations;

Indeed since 2019, all DCF (or DCF equivalents for Financials) have been impacted by Governance and Social metrics to connect directly ESG-type findings into share price targets and bring consistency across the board. The impact is driven by adjusting the small ‘g’ conventionally used to assess the growth to infinity. This is being tweaked to recognise, say, that good governance ultimately pays off.

The same procedure is now stemming from Sustainability metrics instead.

For the record, this has been made possible as AlphaValue has finalised its proprietary E scoring, now extended to 4 items (GHG, Waste, Water, Energy) on which a degree of data stability seems to emerge.